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COVID-19 Predictions: The Economy
Using the
wisdom of crowds
to predict the impact and timeline for COVID-19
A diverse thinking collection of independent individuals can consistently make some predictions better than any single individual, or even experts.
Please provide your best current prediction for each of the following questions. You may submit a further response if you change your predictions.
When you complete the questions and click on 'Done' you will see the combined responses to date.
1.
In the 12 months to December 2019, New Zealand had a change in GDP of + 2.3%.
What will be the change in New Zealand's GDP for the 12 months to December 2020?
+ 3.0% or higher
0.1 to + 2.9%
0.0 to - 3.0%
- 3.1 to - 6.0%
- 6.1 to - 9.0%
- 9.1 to - 12.0%
- 12.1% or lower
2.
In December 2019, New Zealand had an Unemployment Rate of 4.0%.
What will New Zealand's Unemployment Rate be in December 2020?
4.0% or lower
4.1 to 6.0%
6.1 to 8.0%
8.1 to 10.0%
10.1 - 12.0%
12.1 - 14.0%
14.1 - 16.0%
16.1% or higher
3.
According to QV, in December 2019, the average New Zealand house was valued at $710,000 an increase of 4.0% compared to December 2018.
What will be the change in the average New Zealand house price be in December 2020?
+ 8.1% or higher
+ 4.1 to + 8.0%
+ 0.1 to + 4.0%
0.0 to - 4.0%
-4.1 to -8.0%
- 8.1 to - 12.0%
-12.1 to - 16.0%
-16.1% or lower
4.
Are there any other COVID-19 predictions you would like to make?
5.
What is your name? (optional - will not be shown publicly)
6.
If you would like to know about further prediction opportunities, please provide your email address (optional - will not be shown publicly)
When you click on 'Done' you will see the combined responses to date.
